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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Jan 1, 2011 0:30
Comments: 1846
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This thread was started in response to the :

Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis

Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis
 
vido
Zurich, Switzerland
Posts: 3
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 16:58

Hi Ashraf,

you gave a presentation titled "FOREX Trading with Ashraf Laidi" on Sat Jun 13 2009 for Hamzei Club where you talked about your book, website and markets, market trends. I am just curious - have you observed some "material" changes in the markets from that time?

regards,
Vido
houram
Vancouver, Canada
Posts: 55
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 16:43
Hey Qin,
Long term may be, but too strong CAD is not good since most of the exports go to the US and will make us less competitive. But the Canadians are flexible and are multicultural and will find a way out of any crisis.
Qin what do you think of Ben being kept at the FED? Ben is cheered for his work to stop the economy from a free fall!!! Even my grandfather could have done that by pumping $$$$ into the market. Lets see how they want to reduce their budget deficit. Just like Mark Faber, Jim Rogers, Peter Schiff and many others I also think the worst is ahead of us.
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 16:16
houram,
I think CAD will be better then AUD in long term, because Canada doesn't have so often trading deficit, but Australia always has......

Natural gas is my long term investment, I may only check it once a day.....5% from my capital which I use it to against long term inflation.....

NOK is my best play now....still hold it....

Good luck!
houram
Vancouver, Canada
Posts: 55
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 15:47
Qin
I think NOK will do better than CAD in the next 1 0r 2 years anyway, may be AUD will be a very good play too after the correction, which everyone is expecting to come. I had NOK short at 7.2 and closed them at 6.5 (too early). But will get back in again later.
Also good point about the transport of NG that you mentioned. Also keep in mind that NG is now being liquified to LNG and transported across the oceans and that industry is growing at a fast rate. India will have NG supply in the near future and that could drive up the price too.
Good luck with your trades.
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 14:29
canetoad,
I just read your comment.......AUD and NZD are usually go rally and down with gold price.....
In the historical chart, you may find that NZD is much tighter move with gold then AUD.......

CAD will go to oil price......NOK is less affected then CAD by oil price.....
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 13:15
about oil and natural gas ratio......I don't really pay attention on the ratio.....

Oil is more international commodities then natural gas.....people can use ship to delivery oil to everywhere, in another world, if US don't buy oil, China and India will take it, if they think the price is fare to them.....

most natural gas is delivered by pipeline, so China can't buy the natural gas from Mexico or Norway without pipeline.......I think this is the main reason why natural gas is so cheap now.....
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 13:08
FXHandler, I hope there will be some correction in Sep or Oct.....many traders will back to their offices after labor day....so if they re-balance their portfolio, the correction will happen.....I would like to use it to short USD.....

I just move my stop into my break even.....waiting for the reports now.....


lykke til!!!!
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 13:02
Qin,

Almost everyone is talking about the correction comming in SEP or OCT... so there might be a chance it is not really coming then. I am just hoping to get in on a higher level with CHF or YEN.
I am long term, but a hopeless timer, even I am sure the NOK will strenghten when the world economy is stabilizing (been 1,2,3,4,5 or 10 years from now.
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 12:58
Thanks Qin, good theory.

I am long NOK myself, but in the short-term I think there will be a correction to the stock-market, especially oil (down to 58$, so the NOK will go down against all majors.
I traded CHFNOK, but getting abit tired of that pair and hoped to get in on JPYNOK instead. However I feel that pair is abit more risky, never know where it will go. CHFNOK I am sure will go lower in the long term.
Looks like you know your trades. I will read your posts carefully!
:)

Thanks again and good luck!
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 12:52
FXHandler,
I am not 100% sure there is some correction in September or OCT.....I am a really bad timer.....I don't watch the chart every mins.....maybe I just watch the chart when I want to short or long......

But I am 100% sure your NOK will be the one of best currencies in 5 years.......