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Parameters in Equities, Oil
The 100-week moving averages in the S&P500 and US crude oil will act as the next resistance for risk appetite and USD-selling.
watch for ADP if it breaks below 200K
Ashraf
In my view, besides direction, entry and exit points also play a key role in profitability of a trade. Besides this, one key parameter has been stop loss. I have found that in some trades where i have not put a stop loss, the trade have gone in the direction as suggested by Ashraf after going in negative. A careful selection of stop loss is, in my opinion, very important parameter in making a trade successful.
May I request Ashraf to start a new thread, where members can discuss entry, exit, stop losses and direction of their trades. I have started doing this with 2-3 of my friends and believe me, it is very effective in course correction of ones trade midway, as each person has a different ways of looking at charts, entry & exit points and different risk appetite.
Thnx
Rajesh
Welcome to the Forum!
If you go through the members' posts for the last quarter, you'll see the members CONSISTENTLY asking how and when to trade...and Ashraf CONSISTENTLY telling that he'll NOT advise...but ONLY give an opinion on it!
Try asking Ashraf, 'Should I short oil at 80?'...and a typical Ashraf reply would be 'I can only tell you a range - it is your initiative to place a trade...' (ok, s/thing like this). None here seem to think that Ashraf is 100% correct (it's normal)...and none here have burnt their accounts w/ Ashraf's help (have a poll).
I really DO NOT understand what, or who (I know this one), gave you the notion that Ashraf advises members on placing trades! He's always reiterated that this is not a advisory service (because it doesn't come for free). What I also recommend is to check out the posts of a certain, bitter member for the last quarter...and you'll understand why he seems to hold it against Ashraf.
Thanks v/ muxh and I hope I've made things clearer...
Asad
Jack Dee, your previous post was crystal clear that you were setting out analytical probabilities but the health warning is appreciated. Your posts are very welcome so keep them coming!
To me it's rather funny to see all those guys here asking for advise how to trade. Ashraf I see no point in doing that. Ok, sometimes you're right and sometimes you're wrong. That's ok as this is just normal. But some here seems to think that you're right 100% and burn down their accounts.
The spike in the USD index was a false one. At one point, the data point showed the index at over 77.14. The brokerage houses then had to cancel all the trades during the spike time period. It was a mess. Not sure what the "real" spike value is for today as I am getting different readings from various bank sources.
Also for those reading my post, please re-read. I am not predicting where the dollar will go. I am helping the group be prepared for and plan for a POSSIBLE upcoming scenario. The USD index may not ever breached that level this year.
But since it is close to it and the possibility exists, IF the resistance level gets broken, then a prepared trader will be able to ride the wave of short covering and garner a decent amount of pips. Which is my fondest hope for all the members of this group.
-Jack Dee
Ashraf
Ashraf