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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Nov 10, 2009 16:34
Comments: 611
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This thread was started in response to the Article:

Don't Forget the Yen

Much ado about USD rebounds during falling markets, but JPY strength still outperforms USD.
 
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 13:13
Please see latest IMT and twitter updates

be back later

Ashraf
celtic girl
Arinsal, Andorra
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 12:21
Said,

My finger hit the wrong button, l guess the snow is getting to me
FrankBrit
Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Posts: 73
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 11:56
@said / @ rkkashmir

No doubt, NFP and the follow through on Monday will be key on USD/JPY. I'm only following dailies/weeklies as cash at present.

Worth noting Ashraf's recent IMT regarding big increase in JPY shorts relative to 22 Dec.

My feeling is that subject to NFP and follow through we may get a bounce (even as high as 95). The size of this bounce will be determined by the reaction to NFP (and may not even reach 94). But then a drop will follow to perhaps 89/90 range over the next couple of weeks (sticking my neck out ... :-) maybe further).

Just out of interest, looking at the dailies/weeklies - there is potential (at time of writing 93.19) for a gap down doji or spinning top (daily) and (on the weekly) a doji or even, if weekly close below 92.95, a gap down doji or spinning top. Other technicals may be reaching their peak soon too. Anyhow, the day and week are not yet over so plenty of time for this to change - frankly more evidence is still needed for me to feel more comfortable about the direction.

All the best with the trading.

said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 11:17
hi celtic "space" girl.
we have two celtic girl one from andorra and one from angola. thats not really ethical but ...
celtic girl
Arinsal, Angola
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 10:52
Hi Ashraf,

In view of the Jap Fin minister jawboning on his first day in office about the yen and it selling off,
how do you think the market will re-act from here on in - is it likely to continue to be under
pressure in the interim. l know the previous minister spoke about the yen, but somehow did
not take any notice, unlike this present guy, l guess its the fear of the unknown.

thanks
said
France
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 10:48
FRANK, KASHMIR, ASHRAF

I GAVE A 92.70S TARGET FOR YEN YESTERDAY, DO U THINK WE ARE HEADING TO 92.10-20 LIKE STATED KASMIR?
MetacuxRevival
Singapore
Posts: 45
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 7:13
rkkhasmir

thank you very much, kind of u to share'
cheers'
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 6:33
@MetacuxRevival: I don't trade FX anything past short or medium term (and hardly medium term), because in a leveraged account medium to long term is an ETERNITY with so much noise and so many fluctuations and trading opportunities before the long term ever arrives. This was a lesson I learned years ago in FX, and the hard way to. Long term winds up getting a trader married to a (losing) position.

If you think about it, by the time the short term expires, you are already at medium term, and probably a chance at more opportunities. And then by the time the next "short" term expires, the original medium term expired and now you are at the original "long" term.

Hope this helps...Good trading!
MetacuxRevival
Singapore
Posts: 45
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 6:04
rkkhasmir

will it continue to rally above 95.50 or any reversal in mind?
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jan 8, 2010 5:40
@metacux: 94.20 for these units shorter term. Ultimately 95.25/95.50 medium term.