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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Nov 10, 2009 16:34
Comments: 611
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Don't Forget the Yen

Much ado about USD rebounds during falling markets, but JPY strength still outperforms USD.
 
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 19:50
Said-what is your take of this GOLDman-backed trouncing of the USD, goosing of gold, and equity rally without an upward blip in usd.jpy?
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 19:49
hey piped, how do we finish??? strong or total collapse ..lol..gl
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 19:44
@chloe-relax. gbp/usd will head back south. Ashraf says it is capped at 1.5750.
chloethebull
halifax, Canada
Posts: 1183
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 19:35
my gbpusd not doin so good ..lol..ohh well thats what happens usually to my trades ..gotta feel the pain before the joy ..gl
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 19:32
Great Point Pollux -

like The Great Jobless Recovery Hoax, we are today experiencing an equity rally and bashing of the usd WITHOUT a correspondingusd/jpy rally.

GOLDman Sachs at its best!
pollux
France
Posts: 23
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 19:04
Ashraf, why is $yen not over 90.00? With all the $ positive news....??
Shane
Lahore, Pakistan
Posts: 209
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 0:31
Yen strength is fundamentally not viable, for a longer rally in usd we need a much stronger yen if thats the case than we may be nearing the bottoms in major currencies for this year 1.32 in euro and 1.53 in gbp. additionally yen crosses have upheld major sp levels from last year. however we might see figure 87 in usd yen in the process. I think major sp levels in the crosses will hold and usd rally will soon come to an end. We can already see some buying intersest in major currencies from big names. dont forget that euro was in 1.6 and gbp near 2 before the last year rally and than there is no big global crises right now which can make people run towards major risk aversion.i think euro and gbp will have a long way to go up after bottoming at the above mentioned prices by Ashraf.
However its just my personal study and i can always go wrong besides i am quite new to forex.

Dear Ashraf kindly correct me. if wrong.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Feb 8, 2010 21:00
handler, if im buying JPY i would NOt do it against CHF. bottom seen no lower than 82.00

But i see more losses in NOKJPY towards 14

Ashraf
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 7, 2010 23:49
I'm not an expert on the Yen by any means (or much else TBH :-) ), but going by what Ashraf says about USD and JPY sort of taking it in turns to be the haven for risk-aversion, and given his projection for EUR/USD, it seems to me that a lot of this must go also for EUR/JPY. Indeed we have seen some good moves down in the last few trading days. I'm not sure where the target would be, but unless there is some intervention on the part of the Japanese authorities, I would have thought there was room for downside here (allowing for bounces of course).

FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
14 years ago
Feb 6, 2010 15:55
Hi Ashraf!

See you are doing some great calls on the Yen. Fantastic accuracy!

May I ask you where do you see JPY/NOK high, during march month? 0.0716?
Also, is it a good idea to short it at this level, expecting it to drop around 0.0610 when the stock market correction is over?
How about CHF/JPY? It just broke the 83 level, maybe 82 next, but will we see it below 76 again?

Best Regards