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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:
GBP
Discuss GBP
Man the more I listen to this budget the better it gets. Conservatives are holding back no cost. Mainly in fashion and flavour is expansions and tax cuts. Levi's public sector but hugely corporates.
Austerity or prosperity! Con Gov Osborne announced 1.2% growth for the year. Just goes to show you they define risk by inflation not deflation.
Follow it herehttp://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/politics/live_event/
U.K.s new coalition government will deliver Britains most important and painful budget in decades reports the WSJhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704895204575320364276864120.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hpp_LEFTTopStories
EUR/GBP Touch Firmer
EUR/GBP marginally firmer in early trade, up at .8355 from early .8335. Obviously some event risk for sterling today given uncertainty surrounding todays Budget statement. Talk of decent stops above .8400 in the cross.
Cable is coming under a little pressure, presently down at 1.4730, with hedge fund selling noted.
Yuan Fixed At Record Level Against USD
USD/CNY official mid-rate at 6.7980 vs 6.8275 yesterday
Regional stockmarkets -0.5% but bounce after China sets firmer rate for Yuan
It has been a quiet session in Asia apart from some excitement around the China official fix for the
USD/CNY. Traders saw this as a good indication of Chinas new flexibility and the fixing was set at yesterdays closing rate of 6.7975, 3 Yuan lower than yesterday. That market has rallied back towards 6.8100 but is still an indication of increased willingness on Chinas behalf.
The AUD was again the main lightning rod and it jumped from .8770 to .8800 about 30 seconds before the official release on Reuters. AUD/USD traded to a high of .8832 on short covering but has since given back some of these gains. Range: .8757/.8832
EUR/USD has been pressured by selling on the crosses with EUR/AUD and EUR/CHF the leaders.
EUR/CHF made another fresh low below 1.3665. Ranges: 1.2285/1.2353, EUR/CHF 1.3653/1.3703. Talk of 1.3650 barrier interest. Explains why weve stopped at 1.3651 so far I guess.
Cable has drifted lower but has lagged the EUR/USD, with the cross also sliding modestly. Ranges: 1.4750/97, .8327/58
USD/JPY has traded in a tight 23 pip range with the usual cross plays dominating. 90.87/91.10,
EUR/JPY 111.78/112.45
Markets: Nikkei -0.6%, Kospi -0.5%, HK flat. Gold steady at $1240/oz.
ah a point of change algorithm.... the last hedge fund who employed some merge of EW prophecy, technaical analysis astrology, and change point analysis got liquidated.
Trick is prices are time ordered but do not depend on time. No one buys USD and sells GBP because it is Monday 11:11 am
You could just set up a demo account and post your stats over there at MyFxBook for instance. It's a good way to attract some attention.
I've started a small 1k account as well, you can follow and watch if you like here: http://www.myfxbook.com/members/Xaron/euro1k-euro1m/32355