Intraday Market Thoughts

Archived IMT (2008.09.26)

by Ashraf Laidi
Sep 26, 2008 15:02

University of Michigan consumer sentiment index (final for Sep) drops to 70.3 from initial 70.9 but higher from Agust figure. Final US Q2 GDP was revised down to 2.8% from 3.3% due to a scaling down in personal consumption from 1.7% to 1.2%. Not only this suggests that the role of the stimulus package had already faded in Q2, but also confirms a contraction in Q3 GDP due to the negative retail sales, industrial production, durables and housing figures in the quarter. A US recession is a foregone conclusion and interest rate cuts are imminent at this point.


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