Searched for: ECB
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  • Intraday Market Thought: Rehn's Panic, Jobs Reports Next

    by Adam Button | Jul 5, 2019 11:55
    Rehn's Panic, Jobs Reports Next Chart Just a few words on the ECB before we cover the jobs report...central bank governor laid out the ECB's path forward in the clearest....on Thursday but Rehn – Once an ECB hawk – told Boersen Zeitung that.... about forward guidance, cutting the ECB's deposit rate or resuming QE...German yields are now below the ECB's deposit rate of -0...The ECB is terrified about falling inflation....To combat it, the ECB is willing to risk diving deeper into..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Fastest USD Gains since October 2014

    by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 4, 2023 19:02
    Fastest USD Gains since October 2014 Chart most other central banks (especially ECB and BoJ) were in the midst of deep....Fed, ECB, BoC rate hikes are at (or near) their..
  • Article: Currency Wars & ECB's Shrinking Balance Sheet

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 25, 2013 18:17
    Currency Wars & ECB's Shrinking Balance Sheet Chart euro's gains just starting as the ECB balance sheet shrinks further from LTRO.... interest rates—something the ECB has worked hard to avoid...will continue to seek funding from the ECB's shorter-term LTROs, keeping their....in the Eurozone monetary system, the ECB is the only major central bank not to....The above charts show the ECB balance sheet has in fact shrunk by 5%....The ECB's refraining from currency wars may..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Draghi's Five Year Itch

    by Adam Button | Jul 20, 2017 12:23
    Draghi's Five Year Itch Chart Today's s ECB decision will be the five-year.... idea will be issued moments before the ECB press conference...At Thursday's ECB meeting, the market and virtually every....more likely to come at the September ECB or at Jackson Hole but it's a risk....The market is focused on the details of ECB policy but the 'whatever it takes&..
  • Article: ECB Peripheral Divergence & EURUSD

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 16, 2011 6:05
    ECB Peripheral Divergence & EURUSD  Chart 10% rally from early Jan was the ECB's hawkish rhetoric in the face of....was a sufficiently good reason for the ECB to make a hawkish twist, especially as....The argument that higher ECB rates would exacerbate rising bond....this raises the next question; Will the ECB do one or two rate hikes and stand pat....room for a first time, but so far the ECB is more likely to bluff its way, as is....readers polled find that neither the ECB nor the BoE will raise rates before.... of prolonged bond purchases by the ECB... of higher market probability of an ECB rate hike...than 6-7% from their year highs and the ECB doesn't depart from its recent hawkish....38-40s) and the ECB's prevailing hawkishness is keeping the.... further indications are given by the ECB ahead of the April meeting...Fed, robust Eurozone data and/orhawkish ECB talk...As long as markets expect the ECB to maintain its hawkish stance, each..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Fed Minutes & Geopolitics Balance out on USD

    by Adam Button | Apr 11, 2018 19:28
    Fed Minutes & Geopolitics Balance out on USD Chart USD weakness, EURUSD remains boosted by ECB's Nowotny declaring the end of QE....Nowotny said the ECB will end asset buys by year-end then....An ECB spokesman later announced that he was.... him to make, or perhaps odder that the ECB made the retraction.
  • Intraday Market Thought: ECB to End 3-Year QE

    by Adam Button | Dec 13, 2018 12:14
    PM Theresa May before we move on to the ECB below...The ECB decision is up next...remain in the spotlight today with the ECB decision at 12:45 London/GMT and press....The ECB will end QE and reinvestment details....The ECB has the option of downgrading forecasts,..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Queasy on Easing, onto Q2 GDP

    by Adam Button | Jul 26, 2019 10:26
    Queasy on Easing, onto Q2 GDP Chart The ECB on Thursday demonstrated just how tough....Thursday's pre-ECB Premium trade in the euro (not EURUSD.... for taking the trade before the ECB announcement...The ECB essentially pre-committed to cutting....me he went long EUR minutes before the ECB as he expected nothing to be done at..
  • Intraday Market Thought: ECB's Next Challenge

    by Adam Button | Sep 10, 2019 11:40
    ECB's Next Challenge Chart Thursday's ECB meeting is perhaps the least straight-....-term intrigue surrounds Thursday's ECB decision...The latest hints from the ECB suggest rate cuts and perhaps no....to expect a 'surprise' from the ECB so it's difficult to agree on what&....One scenario is for the ECB to disappoint, raising questions about..
  • Intraday Market Thought: What’s Priced in for the ECB?

    by Adam Button | Sep 12, 2019 12:33
    exactly what's priced in for the ECB and it's not as straight-forward as....Along with the ECB decision also comes a key US CPI report...There are five main moving parts to the ECB decision and that's what makes it....The current guidance from the ECB is to keep rates at or below current....;re fast approaching the time when the ECB is tapped out.