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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3119
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3119
Forum Topic:
Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)
Discuss Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)
Ashraf
Ashraf
Do not disagree on GBP/AUD. Am just extremely skeptical of UK recovery. Infact next will be UK with their QE2 and Pound on its ultimate fall again.
Hence I prefer EUR/AUD on a fundamental and tech level given that it has broken away from the 12 months down trend and now holding on to uptrend.
Am also keenly watching AUD/YEN. Given the consistent favorable data out of Japan, chances of a major equity selloff in second half and diving yields in the US are all acting drivers for YEN breakout to 80 or even 78 to the US dollar. I prefer long YEN to AUD than GBP/AUD.
Let me know ur thought on YEN.
Any Ideas whats going on with USDCAD , seems to be the only pair which is not breaking out?
Thanks
Ashraf
given eur/aud trading 1.433 after the dramatic rise in unemployment rate in Australia....do u see this pair continuing the climb to 1.48?
It has broken a long term downtrend line and now is sitting very close to the uptrend line at 1.4300......
Ashraf