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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:
EUR
Discuss EUR in this thread
1st rum
Rydex mutual fund traders have heeded some pundits' suggestions to pare holdings of Gold, with their assets in that fund dropping by more than 40% over the past few weeks. If history is any guide there, the metal shouldn't be subject to much more of a decline before a rally attempt.
While Gold has corrected over the past few weeks, we've seen a number of prominent market forecasters suggest the metal is due for even more of a pullback.
That has apparently had an impact on traders in the Rydex family of mutual funds, who have cut their Precious Metals holdings by 44% since late December.
Not surprisingly given the steady bull market, other times assets have dropped more than 40% over a month's time have led to very positive intermediate-term returns in Gold. The three-month return in GLD has been a median +11.9%, with a median maximum decline of -3.2% and median maximum gain of +13.8%.
Perhaps even more notably, these traders have seemingly forgotten about Precious Metals as a sector - assets are now just 13% of total sector assets, compared to more than 25% just a couple of months ago. Technology and Energy are those traders' main focus now.
Source: sentimentrader
if you will, professor..