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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
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Discuss EUR in this thread
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Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Feb 1, 2021 23:26
In reply to andyjohn's post
Thanks Andy for contacting.

Glad it all worked out.

Welcome aboard

melbourne, Australia
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2 years ago
Jan 27, 2021 0:26
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2 years ago
Dec 24, 2020 18:58
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Central, Egypt
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Nov 8, 2020 7:06
Understanding Fundamentals
In business and economics, fundamentals represent the primary characteristics and financial data necessary to determine the stability and health of an asset. This data can include macroeconomic, or large-scale factors, and microeconomic, or small-scale factors to set a value on securities or businesses.
Analysts and investors examine these fundamentals to develop an estimate as to whether the underlying asset is considered a worthwhile investment, and if there is fair valuation in the market. For businesses, information such as profitability, revenue, assets, liabilities, and growth potential are considered fundamentals. Through the use of fundamental analysis, you may calculate a company's financial ratios to determine the feasibility of the investment.
While fundamentals are most often considered factors that relate to particular businesses or securities, national economies, and their currencies also have a set of fundamentals that can be analyzed. For example, interest rates, gross domestic product (GDP) growth, trade balance surplus/deficits, and inflation levels are some factors that are considered to be fundamentals of a nation's value.
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Macroeconomic and Microeconomic Fundamentals
Macroeconomic fundamentals are topics that affect an economy at-large, including statistics regarding unemployment, supply and demand, growth, and inflation, as well as considerations for monetary or fiscal policy and international trade. These categories can be applied to the analysis of a large-scale economy as a whole or can be related to individual business activity to make changes based on macroeconomic influences. Large scale, macroeconomic fundamentals are also part of the top-down analysis of individual companies.
Microeconomic fundamentals focus on the activities within smaller segments of the economy, such as a particular market or sector. This small-scale focus can include issues of supply and demand within the specified segment, labor, and both consumer and firm theories. Consumer theory investigates how people spend within their particular budget restraints. The theory of the firm states that a business exists and makes decisions to earn profits.
Fundamentals in Business
By looking at the economics of a business, including the overall management and the financial statements, investors are looking at a company's fundamentals. Not only do these data points show the health of the business, but they also indicate the probability of further growth. A company with little debt and sufficient cash is considered to have strong fundamentals.
Strong fundamentals suggest that a business has a viable framework or financial structure. Conversely, those with weak fundamentals may have issues in the areas of debt obligation management, cost control, or overall organizational management. A business with strong fundamentals may be more likely to survive adverse events, like economic recessions or depressions, than one with weaker fundamentals. Also, strength may indicate less risk should an investor consider purchasing securities associated with the businesses mentioned.
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Fundamental Analysis
Investors and financial analysts are interested in evaluating the fundamentals of a company to compare its economic position relative to its industry peers, to the broader market, or to itself over time. Fundamental analysis involves digging deep into a company's financial statements to extract its profit and growth potential, relative riskiness, and to ultimately decide if its shares are over, under, or fairly valued in the market.
Often fundamental analysis involves computing and analyzing ratios to make apples-to-apples comparisons. Some common fundamental analysis ratios are listed below.
The debt-to-equity ratio (DE) measures how a company is financing its operations.
The quick ratio measures the company’s ability to meet its short-term obligations.
The degree of financial leverage (DFL) measures the stability or volatility of the earnings per share (EPS).
The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio compares investment to earnings dollars.
The DuPont analysis looks at return on equity (ROE) by looking at asset use efficiency, operating efficiency, and financial leverage.
Fundamental analysis should be carried out with a holistic approach, utilizing several ratios and including a bottom-up as well as a top-down analysis to come to specific conclusions and actions.
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Real World Example
In the fourth quarter of 2018, according to Market Watch, large-cap tech companies Microsoft and Apple had similar market caps for the first time since 2010. Although the two companies had similar market caps of about $850 billion, they had very different fundamentals. For example, Microsoft was trading at 45X earnings while Apple was trading at 15X earnings.1

Madison, United States
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Oct 16, 2020 12:48
The euro could strengthen throughout 2021 thanks to an economic recovery in Europe, lower political risks, and no significant policy change from the ECB. I trade professionally at forex. - more about my broker and forex situation.
Paris, France
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Apr 29, 2020 16:49
In reply to Ashraf Laidi's post
+ dollar to gain strength when ISM keeps dropping
+ dollar denominated debt increasing dollar demand
+ important for euro to drop in value to loosen financial and credit conditions domestically
+ dollar = safe haven
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Apr 28, 2020 19:03
In reply to Pctrader1979's post

How about 20%. What's your basis

Paris, France
Posts: 0
2 years ago
Apr 27, 2020 14:20
What is the probability Euro-Dollar reaches parity in 2020? 75%?
Texus, United States
Posts: 0
3 years ago
Jan 21, 2020 12:38
EUR/USD retakes 1.1100 and beyond on upbeat ZEW

EUR/USD quickly movements above the 1.1100 marks.
German Economic Sentiment improves to 26.7 in January.
Attention now shifts to Trump’s speech in Davos.

A surprising boost of purchasing interest-driven EUR/USD returned above the key 1.1100 marks on Tuesday soon after the discharge of better-than-estimated ZEW Survey figures.

EUR/USD stays near 1.1100, attention on Trump

The pair has regained greater oxygen and advanced – albeit briefly – to the location above 1.1100 the determine after the ZEW Survey confirmed the Economic Sentiment rebounded to 26.7 and 25.6 in Germany and the euro area, respectively, for the current month.

Moving forward, buyers are now targeted on the imminent speech with the aid of President Trump at the WEF in Davos, amidst growing concerns regarding the outbreak of the Wuhan coronavirus in China.

What to look for around EUR

The pair dropped to sparkling every year lows and lingers over the important thing 55-day SMA to date this week and always trying to USD-dynamics. Furthermore, the recent charge action suggests that the 1.1180 regions may be a meantime top. In the meantime, markets’ awareness is now seen moving to a more data-structured stance whilst the US-China change front remains muted for the time being. On the greater macro view, the slowdown within the location stays aways from abated and keeps to justify the ‘looser for longer’ monetary stance from the ECB, which is anticipated to keep the current ‘wait-and-see’ stance, at least within the near-term, as in step with the recently published minutes (Accounts) from the December meeting.

EUR/USD degrees to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.05% at 1.1100 and faces the subsequent up barrier at 1.1134 (200-day SMA) followed by 1.1172 (weekly excessive Jan.16) and eventually 1.1186 (61.8% of the 2017-2018 rally). On the downside, a breakdown of 1.1076 (weekly/2020 low Jan.20) would goal 1.1066 (100-day SMA) en direction to 1.1039 (low Dec.6 2019).

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