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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jun 16, 2010 11:30
to be honest I have no clue here. I think Mr Market is bullish for now, but I'm not convinced to be part of it. So I stay on the sideline for a while. I'm gonna wait the end of the world cup and see how events unfold. I'm actually looking for a low risk set up on extrem optimistic levels (VIX and PCR) to buy FAZ or to buy gold.
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 16, 2010 2:04
finally my long oil position is paying me, been holding for awhile...playing it with a close stop..too volitile could easily go to 70buks so too risky to play that long rd again...roll over hurt me alittle..but it could keep moving higher,but i feel downside more likely..if i happen to hit the stop then reverses back higher then the usdcad will be my next big play at paridy for a huge position to hold for next 1.0500 run....ive been flipping blocks daily at these levels but will wait for paridy for massive long post..does any1 have a outlook for gold...i like what ashraf said about gold yesterday hopefully we see a pull back to 1180 or lower would be nice:)....ok good luck guys an thanks
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Jun 15, 2010 22:56
stationdealer

to try to complement and understand the coming and the difference in startegy by central banks and gvt, i would to add u that UK will the beneficiary of this period of austerity measure while european countries will lagg. it has been the case in 1992 under john major and following by the labour.
the axis of development of next inflationary monetary policy in the uk in three and a half years will be always the same axis of development ie China, south east asia, eastern europe and now u add brazyl and australia due to commodities supercycles. in france, the alst move within the last year and half of the french prime minister and its team has been an anchor to britain economic development. the legal framework of economic modernisation has been built been around pivotal point such as capital market access and its declinaison in market segment. its a pure financier framework and i dont see the industrial part of it.
we ll see how britain and france together are gonna to manage the coming storm but as usual the proactiveness will come from ur side, dont get restrained except if it hurt the living power
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jun 15, 2010 17:41
Good point, but if Germany get knocked out early (unlikely I know), I predict productivity will go down over there. (Mind you, that will also happen the day after the night after they win :-) ).
Frog
Paris, France
Posts: 28
14 years ago
Jun 15, 2010 17:39
I have the feeling that optimism is going to be in the air until the end of the world cup...

Does that ring a bell for you ?

No ? Remember that summer with euro at 1.60$ and crude oil at 144$ a barrel ?

It was summer 2008, right before the end of Olympic games and before the beginning of black September, black October, and black November !

Yep ! Nothing will happen during the worlcup.

The world is round for now, let it become square again in august and September.
Qiman
United States
Posts: 237
14 years ago
Jun 15, 2010 14:32
FELIX ZULAUF: THE MARCH 2009 LOW WONT HOLD

He believes we are currently at a major turning point in the markets where investors are beginning to realize that government spending is not the solution to all our problems. He says the fiscal austerity measures will only increase deflationary pressures and that the pain is inevitable and unavoidable:
http://pragcap.com/felix-zulauf-the-march-2009-low-wont-hold
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Jun 14, 2010 19:38
mac coy
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 14, 2010 19:05
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hyperinflation-could-happen-suddenly-2010-06-10

Bearish Schultz says hyperinflation may happen suddenly
Commentary: Crash-predicting letter says recovery might not come until 2028


By Peter Brimelow, MarketWatch
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Stocks continue to flounder. A remarkable veteran editor says get used to it.

Harry Schultz' International Harry Schultz Letter was one of 2009's top 10 performers because it ran with the rally. ( See Dec. 28, 2009, column.) And I named it Letter of the Year for 2008 because it undeniably did predict the crash, although by Hulbert Financial Digest count it didn't benefit, for various technical reasons. ( See Dec. 28, 2008, column.)
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Jun 14, 2010 18:48
hi asharaf

u have news from ABOOD, long time not heard of him. if u get it at the fone tell him i am at bir hakeim

au bas mot

catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 14, 2010 13:51
I am short gold anyway however, as a hedge of physical gold, and further about begin of July we will see a stoc market crash pulling gold down as funds need cash