Forum > View Topic
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Forum Topic:
Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
http://chart.ly/f6g72m
Ashraf
Someone have any remark
Wel 76 is good for me I can not do risk assessment for you but I would like to hold oil short anything from 76 and above levels. Before Gas price go up crude will hit new lows so you do the maths. how long will that take my guess is another 3 to 4 weeks till we start to seek rising gas prices and this is also sicken CAD.
Deepwater Horizon and Global Financial Meltdown: Each Mirrors The Other (June 7, 2010)
The explosion of Deepwater Horizon and the collapse of Lehman Brothers share similar characteristics of risk, denial and coverup.
My good friend G.F.B. recently observed that the Deepwater Horizon catastrophe uncannily mirrors the global financial meltdown that was triggered by the September, 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers.
June 10 (Bloomberg) -- BP Plc bonds and credit-default swaps are trading as if the energy company has lost its investment-grade rating as costs mount from the worst oil spill in U.S. history.
BPs $3 billion of 5.25 percent notes due in 2013 fell as low as a record 89.94 cents yesterday, pushing the yield to 7.57 percentage points more than Treasuries. The spread compares with an average of 7.26 percentage points for junk bonds, Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes show. The cost to protect $10 million of BP debt for a year with credit-default swaps almost doubled to $512,000, according to CMA DataVision. It was $29,000 on April 30.
Thats just pure out panic, said Michael Donelan, who oversees $3.5 billion of bonds at Ryan Labs Inc. in New York. Thats like, Get me out of here now. What the market is pricing in now is increased regulatory oversight and heavy, heavy punitive damages.
Debt investors are losing confidence in London-based BP as the company fails to contain the oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico. BP said June 7 it has spent $1.25 billion so far, or about $27 million a day, related to the accident. Credit Suisse Group AG estimated the total cost may reach $37 billion.
Credit-default swaps on BP implied a Ba2 rating for the company as of June 8, nine steps lower than its actual Aa2 grade at Moodys Investors Service, based on data from the ratings firms capital markets research group. The implied rating was as high as A3 on May 28, the data show. Junk bonds are rated below Baa3 by Moodys and lower than BBB- by Standard & Poors.