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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Jan 1, 2011 0:30
Comments: 1846
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This thread was started in response to the :

Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis

Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis
 
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redstone
Bristol, UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 18:53
hi Spec. which currencies will out perform most against sterling over the next 2 years .
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 12:18
once economies start to recover, central banks may mop up the extra liquidity brought about by QE. They can do this buy selling government bonds to investors and in exchange for hoarded cash held at central banks or they can tighten monetary policy greatly which could then result in country debt downgrades.

The currencies of countries that have QE will greatly suffer in the LONG run against CERTAIN currencies. But note that Bank of Englands expansion is relatively more painful as it is a small currency unlike US dollar. So i expect fantastic long term bets against the pound as the effects QE may not have fully been priced in.

FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 9:04
Ashraf,
see what you mean. But it seems you are not 100% sure? Do you have the same view as Pretcher? What about interest rates? Do you see them rally up soon? (if they do, stocks will go lower).
Just want to learn about your views while I am waiting for my book....

Regards
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Sep 7, 2009 5:10
Handler, 5 or 10 years? i think we could descend into a deeper deflationary spiral in some industrialized nations w/in a year but in the longer term, inflation could become the bigger problem, hence metals are in for an extended secular bul market. Actually, even the deflationary risks due in the short term may not be punishing for commodities.

Ashraf
FXHandler
Norway
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Sep 6, 2009 22:55
Ashraf,
Regarding the question Inflation/Deflation. Can you please give me your views about the future (5-10 year forward in time).
There are many different views about this. Experts don't agree about this subject.
(I haven't received your book yet, so I don't know your aspect of this).

best regards
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Sep 6, 2009 17:46
Chloe, 1.12 has proven a key resistance for some time. Friday's better than exp jobs report in Canada may help impose this resistance, so wed have to see more losses in oil and stocks (which is very plausible at this point) in order for 1.16 to be seen.

Ashraf
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Sep 5, 2009 11:25
chloethebull, ask Ashraf what is his target on long USD/CAD.......I don't think it will go to 1.17.....
chloethebull
halifax, Canada
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Sep 5, 2009 2:16
ashraf or any1 eles..how strong do you think usdcad could get?are the days of 1.17 or more long gone..thanks
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Sep 5, 2009 1:14
spec,
Yes, market is buying option on EUR for 10 years.......but you can buy 30 years US bonds, maybe you will have a very good return in 30 years......10 years is nothing if you compare 30 years.....just do it!!! please do it!!!
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Sep 5, 2009 1:12
sorry my mistake.....FX......I didn't make a lot of profits this week......I hope I will have more chance next week.....
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