Archived IMT (2009.07.01)

LAST MONTH's REACTION to the JOBS REPORT: June 5, 2009 10:09 ET: FOREX GETS IT RIGHT before equities and bonds. Forex initially curtailed its risk appetite trade before equities joined in by sending stocks from +1.2% to -0.1%. The initial reaction in forex, bond and equities markets to the jobs report focused on the smallest job loss in 8 months (-345K vs expectations of -530K), while shrugging the 0.5 jump in the unemployment rate to 9.4%--highest since 1983. But FX later cut dollar losses by 200-pts in minutes, by dragging down EUR, AUD, GBP and CAD. Some analysts are stating the payrolls wqere erroneous according to the BLS birth-death model. USDCAD regains 1.11, GBPUSD tests below $1.60 and EURUSD eyes 1.3970.

SEE THE LINK IN THE ARCHIVE OF OUR INTRADAY MARKET THOUGHTS http://www.ashraflaidi.com/forex-news/archives/2009/06/w01/