Yen a Minority as Abe Heads for Majority
GBPJPY adds 200 pips less than 24 hours after charting the fundamental and technical case for the pair in our Premium Insights. Japanese PM Abe's LDP is set to gain majority in the Upper House, with the help of its junior coalition partner New Komeito party. But what is simple majority vs outright majority? And what is a sufficient margin for protracted declines in the Japanese currency? We answer all these questions in today's Premium Insights as both of yesterday's USDJPY longs hit all targets. Meanwhile, US Philly Fed survey hits 2-year highs and US jobless claims at 2-month lows, helping to firm up the greenback. We issue 2 new longs in GBPJPY alongside 2 new trades in USDJPY as we outline the mechanics of Sunday's Upper House elections. EURJPY (2), USDCAD (1), USDCHF (1) and AUDUSD (1) trades are also in progress, which all can be accessed in the Latest Premium Insights.
| Act | Exp | Prev | GMT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Initial Jobless Claims (JUL 12) | |||
| 334K | 345K | 358K | Jul 18 12:30 |
| Continuing Jobless Claims (JUL 6) | |||
| 3114K | 2959K | 3023K | Jul 18 12:30 |
| Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (JUL) | |||
| 19.8 | 7.8 | 12.5 | Jul 18 14:00 |
Latest IMTs
-
This Gold Level is Important
by Ashraf Laidi | Aug 10, 2026 12:15
-
Trading USDJPY Post Intervention
by Ashraf Laidi | Aug 5, 2026 17:43
-
Gold metric Working so far
by Ashraf Laidi | Aug 3, 2026 12:32
-
4200 Gold & Warsh
by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 31, 2026 11:26
-
Nasdaq pre FOMC
by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 27, 2026 18:06






