Searched for: rate [and] cut
Results: 21 to 30 of 1,000
  • Intraday Market Thought: Trading Narratives vs Stats

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 28, 2022 14:28
    Wednesday's 75 bp rate hike from the Fed was clearly....point to an additional 75-100 bps in rate hikes in September and November,....more concerned with the timing of Fed rate cuts (or one rate cut), rather than the....So when is the next rate cut? In my last post about yield curves, I..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Fed Emergency Cut Falls Flat, BoC Next

    by Adam Button | Mar 3, 2020 22:10
    Fed Emergency Cut Falls Flat, BoC Next Chart has delivered its first intermeeting rate cut since Oct 2008, one week after stocks....banks failed to deliver a coordinated cut after a bland G7 statement but the....The problem with the Fed surprise cut is that it was framed – unfairly.... to clear for the bulls, before the rate cut...A 25 bps cut is fully priced in and 50 bps is a 65%.... to get ahead of a further March 18 Fed cut.
  • Intraday Market Thought: After the ECB

    by Adam Button | Sep 13, 2019 15:09
    After the ECB Chart euro extend gains despite the latest rate cut and fresh QE from the ECB?..
  • Intraday Market Thought: 7 Charts Ahead of Key Week

    by Adam Button | Dec 14, 2018 16:37
    7 Charts Ahead of Key Week Chart time the 3-month Eurodollar interest rate contract (upper right chart) peaked and....Dec 2018 and 2019 Eurodollar interest rate contract continues to suggest no rate.... continue to price a 72% chance for a rate hike next week... have occured at the start of the Fed rate cut campaigns since 1980s...was in autum 1998, when the Fed had to cut rates in the midst of the LTCM collapse....Today, the equivalent of an emergency rate cut would be a surprise dissent against a..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Pound ralllies ahead of QIR, NZD battered on rate calls

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 11, 2015 19:03
    Pound ralllies ahead of QIR, NZD battered on rate calls Chart US dollar lost most of its post-China rate cut gains...The NZD was the biggest loser as summer rate cuts by the RBNZ becomes a credible..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold: Is it Different this Time?

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 3, 2019 15:41
    Gold: Is it Different this Time? Chart market expectations of a Fed rate cut this year (86% chance of a rate cut by..
  • Intraday Market Thought: A Powell Cut then what?

    by Adam Button | Oct 30, 2019 13:00
    A Powell Cut then what? Chart A third consecutive cut from the Federal Reserve is imminent....The market is pricing a 94% chance of a cut and it would be the biggest monetary.... currently pricing in a 27% chance of a cut in December... will likely be to keep December cut expectations around where they are now...communicate to markets this isn't a rate-cutting cycle.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Bullard Boosts Dollar, Awaiting G20

    by Adam Button | Jun 26, 2019 13:05
    Bullard Boosts Dollar, Awaiting G20 Chart 's attention with a hint that a rate-cutting cycle isn't coming...Instead of a series of rate cuts, Bullard implied there would be....'t the time for a 50 basis point rate cut... move in July as an 'insurance' cut...many on the FOMC see a stronger case to cut and that things have changed.... pointed to a high certainty of a July cut but little beyond that.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Fed Exits Cautiously, BoE Cautious on Brexit

    by Adam Button | Aug 1, 2019 11:35
    Fed Exits Cautiously, BoE Cautious on Brexit Chart cycle and stunted expectations for a rate cutting cycle... inflation as the reason for a cut...press conference when Powell said the rate cut was a “mid-cycle adjustment to....That sent the dollar to fresh highs and cut down the stock market, which sending US....was pricing in a 78% chance of a second cut at the September meeting ahead of the....neagtive yield curve has always led to rate cuts (but not always to recessions)..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Nearing Total Yield Curve Inversion

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 12, 2022 15:43
    Nearing Total Yield Curve Inversion Chart pivot" must mean the opposite of rate hikes i...rate cuts...? Everyone rushes to say a pivot is a rate cut...a pivot to be an official pause from rate hikes, or, a bigger than expected....not limit your thinking to only “rate cuts”..