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Results: 421 to 430 of 1,000
Results: 421 to 430 of 1,000
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Intraday Market Thought: From ECB Market Rebuff to PCE
by Adam Button | Oct 29, 2021 12:43The euro posted its biggest percentage weekly gain in five months as traders....The euro was the top performer while the yen lagged...With US yield curve flattening further, markets are already doubting the extent....The Core PCE price index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation is due up....nbsp;....Like market participants, central banks are now dividing themselves into....Christine Lagarde championed Team Transitory once again on Thursday after....She said the central bank did some 'soul searching' but is confident in the....quot;Our analysis certainty does not support that the conditions of our....Contrast that with the Bank of Canada, which hiked its 2022 inflation forecast....4% on Wednesday and market pricing that showing an ECB hike around this time....The broader market is showing some of the same tensions as long-dated yields....5%, much higher than the RBA's 0...10% yield curve control target...Next week's Fed decision looms increasingly large with a hike now 90%....The troubling part is that the $15B/monthly taper suggested in the FOMC....Pay close attention to the size and pace of the taper...nbsp;....The advance Q3 GDP was on the soft side at 2...0% compared to 2...7% expected but not as weak as feared...Notably, stripping out all the auto-related drops – which were largely....2%....That's a signal that supply is the problem, not demand...The question that continues to plague market participants is inflation and we....The consensus is for a 4...3% y/y inflation rise and 3...6% on the core...It's tough to see it altering the Fed's view, it could light another fire under....nbsp;.. -
Intraday Market Thought: Bunds Treasuries Spread Breakout
by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 5, 2023 17:37
The chart showing the spread between the 10 yr German Bund yield and its US....I too have mixed views about this approach to FX, but I did use it with....10 in late 2020...The prediction was made at the NY Money show on 8th of March 2020 in this video....You all remember what happened on March 8...It was the INFAMOUS SUNDAY when “Saudi broke OPEC”, leading to a....Let's explore the weakness of using yield spreads before pointing to their....nbsp;....When Yield Spreads Failed in FX...See how EURUSD remained steady in spring-winter 2020 despite the Bunds-....The reason was related to the fact that USD was sunk by trillions of fresh....Other examples of the yield spread's ineffectiveness was during 2002-2004....When Yield Spreads Worked in FX...As for the classic examples when Bunds-Treasuries yield spread proved effective....Looking ahead, the Bund-Treasuries 10-yr yield spread appears to be breaking....Yet, the spread needs to ascend further towards the -0...50 territory (when bund yields are -0...5% below treasuries) in order for $1...10 to hold and build up for $1...15...The warning becomes the following: Once/if the break into positive territory....As for the fundamental triggers, they could include: i) New evidence of....Think deeply about the last one, as it's not straightforward...nbsp;..
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Intraday Market Thought: See you in Vegas Tues to Friday
by Ashraf Laidi | Aug 7, 2023 14:45
The week in Las Vegas has arrived, where I will be speaking in 3 occasions at....8-10, 2023...It's going to be an comprehensive, interactive, educational, and enjoyable....I'm also excited to save you $50 in the process...For one thing, MoneyShow is creating an intimate, exclusive environment that....frequent networking opportunities with fellow high-net-worth investors...and an abundance of wealth-building keynote presentations, lively panel....nbsp; For another, they've assembled a sterling line up of accomplished....I will be presenting my latest market analysis and advice alongside dozens of....There's more below...You'll also enjoy top-quality food, drink, and entertainment during the....And you'll be housed at the Paris Las Vegas, a “home base”....Here is my event schedule:....Reading the Intermarket Signals from Metals and Yields Pertaining to Indices....Tuesday, August 8, 2023 | 11:15 am - 11:35 am PDT...The Global Value Hunt: 3 Best Ideas from 3 Top Experts...Thursday, August 10, 2023 | 9:30 am - 10:10 am PDT...Using the Gold-Silver Ratio in FX...Thursday, August 10, 2023 | 1:30 pm - 2:15 pm PDT...I've also set aside a discounted Symposium pass in your name...It will cost just $149 – a savings of $50 off the standard price!....You can claim your discounted pass by clicking here...Or simply call the MoneyShow team at 1-800-970-4355 and tell them you are a....Looking forward to seeing you next week...Sincerely,....Ashraf Laidi...Founder, Intermarket Strategy Ltd, and AshrafLaidi.....
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Intraday Market Thought: Philly Fed Misses, BOE’s Weale Dovish
by Adam Button | Apr 19, 2013 0:24Risk trades slipped on a disappointing Philly but overall moves were choppy...The pound was the top performer while NZD lagged...The Asia-Pacific calendar is light...Premium trades existing in EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, EURJPY, USDCAD and gold...The remaining silver short hit all targets and so did 1 Gold short, keeping....Full access can be seen in the latest Premium Insights...Yesterday's Beige Book affirmed that the Fed remains upbeat about the recovery....The Philly Fed was at 1...3 compared to 3...0 expected, which alone isn't bad but the key sub-indexes on employment and....Leading indicators also slipped 0...1% compared to a 0...1% rise expected...Earlier data on initial jobless claims at 352K were essentially in line with....Following the Philly Fed, risk trades slumped and USD/JPY fell to 97...92...Yen crosses also hit the lows of the day at that time...Afterwards stocks continued to deteriorate but FX rebounded and spent....In the UK, an interesting development was a comment from the BOE's Weale that....He conceded that growth may have contracted in Q1 and said lower....The most-recent MPC minutes showed a 6-3 vote against QE that would fall to 5-4....Cable rallied to a session high of 1...5313 moments before his comments but have sank back to 1...5278 since...In the upcoming session, headlines from the G20 will continued to percolate...The lone interesting data point is at 0430 GMT when Japan releases its.. -
Intraday Market Thought: Gold/Stocks Ratio’s Worst Decline in 2 Decades
by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 11, 2013 5:59The gold/S&P500 ratio has fallen below 1...0 for the first time in 3 years, losing 40% from its 23-year peak of August 2011-....See what the chart is telling us .. -
Intraday Market Thought: Algerian Hostage Crisis Adds to Oil’s Reflationary Play
by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 18, 2013 18:50The ongoing hostage crisis in Algeria's highest-producing gas field adds a new....And here is what Brent chart looks like relative to the S&P500 as the risk....Click here for rest of.. -
Intraday Market Thought: FTSE-100's Exceptional December Track Record
by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 30, 2012 17:40FTSE-100 Rallied in each of the last 9 Decembers...None of the major G7 indices has matched such consistency...http://www...cityindex...co...uk/market-analysis/market-news/2992772012/299277/.. -
Intraday Market Thought: S&P's Stealth Warning & New Premium Trades
by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 6, 2011 0:54We're updating our Premium trades after S&P placed 15 Eurozone nations under....Downgrades could follow as early as Friday...EURUSD still holds at 1...3370s, while metals fell...Here are the New trades: http://ashraflaidi...com/products/sub01/access/?a=564 Nonmembers click here to join http:....com/products/.. -
Intraday Market Thought: Arabic Speakers: Ashraf 's Interview on CNBC Arabia
by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 25, 2011 21:33Arabic speakers can watch Ashraf's extensive interview with CNBC Arabia....USDJP, silver and Japan's debt load vs the rest of the world....http://youtu...be/HDl2Sd9UXq0....Ashraf's latest trading ideas & Gold/Silver Analysis is found in today's....com/3fsb7px Click here to get your 1-week free trial...http://ashraflaidi...com/products/.. -
Intraday Market Thought: USD Beyond ECB & NFP
by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 4, 2014 14:55
As crucial as this week's release of the US October non-farm payrolls report....Full charts & analysis.
