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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Aug 22, 2009 3:37
Comments: 852
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VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal

BRICS equity indices fail at key fib retracements, VIX and oil near major trend lines and sterling's sell-appeal hasn't looked this good in a while.
 
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 17:54
Asad tbh I trade WTI on a intra day basis. IMHO there are too many external factors that effect the price ( none of which seem to be supply/demand at the moment )...so im only interested in a quick play. I must say intra day 69.3 is holding up v well as a support level, either that or the americans are all down starbucks for lunch!! And we will see further falls later today
asad
London, UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 17:20
Ha!

The funny thing is that London's missing out on the gains. & when they join the short tomorrow...oil will start rising! *heheh*
asad
London, UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 17:15
BOYS & GIRLS...

The imminent sell-off has begun!! *glee* For those ready w/ short positions days ago...CONGRATS!! Enjoy the fruits of your hard work (moves). For those who didn't...well, you should've listened better to the markets.

Gunjack, depends on the timeframe. If you're talking about a week or two from now, it's around 60! If you're talking over a couple of sessions, well...take your short to above 68.50...then get a quickie b/w here and 70. Umm it may sneak over 70 a last time. If I were you, I'd set my trade over a week...and enjoy it! ;)
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 16:46
Ashraf WTI hits 69.3. Would we have to see a close below this level to incur further falls in oil, or would an intra day breach prove sufficient.

Thx
Gunjack
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 12:35
asad forget what is available now think about what will happen in technology. the petrol engine is long overdue a suitable replacement and will come sooner tha you think. the higher oil price goes the more incentive to make alternative engines.

bentley is bringing its first electric car out after 2010. with all the problems of pollution, combustion engines in cars will start to be replaced slowly over the next 10 - 20 years.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 5:12
nzvik, even churchill had a few quotes on currency trading.

"We're all Keynesians Now" remains the saying for now...

I will be on Bloomberg TV at 9:15 GMT...5 hrs from now. gnite/morning

Ashraf
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 5:07
The irrational markets quote is from famous British economist John Maynard Keynes - one of the fathers of macro economics

Read here briefly about how Keynes speculated in currencies and lost and then came up with the famous quote
http://www.maynardkeynes.org/keynes-the-speculator.html

Part of what you are seeing happening now is Keynesian economics being followed. The simpler form of which is : when economies suffer a downturn, governments should borrow and spend money to boost economic activity. Part of the proceeds of the resulting economic growth should then be used to repay the debt.
asad
London, UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 1:33
Go Ashraf, go! 8) I just wrote a week ago that I see oil b/w 40 & 50 by 11/09. Do I have your vote on it??!! *glee*

Spec, EVEN if cars (& aircrafts!) equate to 55% of oil consumption, 45% is industrial processes. & even if 55% is run on alternate energy, what about 45%. I know you tries hard, but still didn't answer a single of the three questions!

As for profitability, the closest alernative we got to (was/is) the Canadian oil sands, but for that crude has to average 65/barrel for oil sands extraction to be viable (IF it is allowed owing to EXTREMELY environmentally hazardous). In the medium run, this is a gamble, but again, let's see (again, we get nowhere afa oil alternative is concerned). Ethanol showed some promised until sugar shortage took place & resources went again into sugar production!

Ashraf, I agree (& long hold the belief) that next year this time, we'll be around 150. I've gone through our posts on oil...and I think we agree on its movement. What do you have for breakfast? Weetabix?

anauel63
london, UK
Posts: 34
15 years ago
Aug 31, 2009 1:16
Ashraf,how important is the baltic dry index to you???
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 30, 2009 18:30
asad, petrol cars are probably take a great bulk of oil needs in the world.

we have sat nav on phones and on the way to phasing out petrol cars in the next decade or two. I'm sorry but it will happen far sooner than you think. Plus the more expensive oil becomes the more profitable to have a replacement for consumers.