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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Jan 19, 2010 15:19
Comments: 147
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This thread was started in response to the Article:

Euro's Dead Cross

EURUSD's downtrend is now confirmed after its 50-day MA has fallen below its 100-day MA, strengthening the bearish technical signal with an already deteriorating fundamental foundation.
 
Posted Anonymously
11 years ago
Mar 3, 2011 16:00
mandiwie
kartitsch, Austria
Posts: 69
12 years ago
Mar 22, 2010 10:32
Merkel just pointing out fear of dramatic loss of domestic consum this year
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
12 years ago
Mar 22, 2010 7:11
Mandi, See these latest polls showing rising german opposition to greece aid; eurohttp://bit.ly/dg1XtH


Ashraf
mandiwie
Austria
Posted Anonymously
12 years ago
Mar 20, 2010 9:35
Ashraf please also have a look at recent statistical costs of labour per output


Greece 32,8 %
Italy 31,4 %
Spain 30,1 %
ireland 27, 3 %
Germany 5,8 %

http://fbkfinanzwirtschaft.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/bw-march-1_2010-merkel-germany-vs-europe.pdf


these figures reflect also, which nations are waiting in the queue next to be "supported" or "aided" or
"honoured" for their inabilties
mandiwie
kartitsch, Austria
Posts: 69
12 years ago
Mar 20, 2010 7:11
Ashraf, besides, for me Greek CDS will fuel the risks tremendously
How shall the Greek pay the debts ? you already made critical marks about that, I know

so Greek CDS will be not the solution, but the prolongation of the crisis:

cheap money was the decisive harmful Katalysator for the subprime crisis and will it be now again.
mandiwie
kartitsch, Austria
Posts: 69
12 years ago
Mar 20, 2010 6:45
Ashraf, I would like to explain to you the most weighing problems of german economy for me. Germany shows an ancient population (over 30 % now are older than 60 years) and Harz 4 is leading into the wrong direction. Did you know that in January 2010 6,5 Mio people got Harz 4 transfer support, 1,7 Mio children under 15 years must live from this transfer. 15 Mio people with migration backgrund compensated falling birth rates since 1970 until now; The population in Germany - acording to forecasts -will shrink in the next years from 82 Mio to 74 Mio (or 60 Mio) with alwas less children and more old people.

For these reasons I d`ont belief Germany can afford so much to bailout Greece
mandiwie
kartitsch, Austria
Posts: 69
12 years ago
Mar 18, 2010 6:19
Ashraf, there we are - no glimpse of any possibility for German loan guarantees for Greece, they rather expel greece from the EMU; I dont think the markets belief, Greece will execute their austerity program in a proper way and cannot gain confidence back.
If this is presumably so, Greek will also destabilze confidence in the Euro anyway with or without aid.

Germany or the EU can help temporarily but not change greek structures and manners (behaviours)
mandiwie
kartitsch, Austria
Posts: 69
12 years ago
Mar 17, 2010 7:40
Xaraon

Sie wissen doch selber am besten Bescheid ber die derzeitige Stimmung in Deutschland; der aufmacherische Film "die Grenze" und Umfragen enthalten zumindets ein Krnchen Wahrheit

Mit der Piefek Saga oder Seitenhieben auf sterreich allerdings nicht vergleichbar


Aber im Ernst: Meine Bemerkung betraf die Frage, ob Deutschland Griechenland helfen wird, davon war ich nicht berzeugt und Finanzminister Schuble hat dies kurz nach meinem Beitrag auh deutlich besttigt und von gezielter Fehlinformation gesprochen.

Ich wollte zum Ausdruck bringen, dass Deutschland auch wichtigere Sorgen als Griechenland hat.


Xaron
Germany
Posted Anonymously
12 years ago
Mar 17, 2010 6:19
mandiwie you must be kidding! We germans do NOT want back that stupid wall. Before that happens Austria would join Germany again. ;) Just kidding...
mandiwie
kartitsch, Austria
Posts: 69
12 years ago
Mar 17, 2010 6:11
Ashraf, i was completely right with my doubts about german aid

Schuble yesterday spoke about deliberate false informations for speculators
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7bab9d7e-3128-11df-8e6f-00144feabdc0.html