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Euro's Dead Cross
EURUSD's downtrend is now confirmed after its 50-day MA has fallen below its 100-day MA, strengthening the bearish technical signal with an already deteriorating fundamental foundation.
Ashraf
The FOMC announcement will likely issue a modest upgrade of economic conditions in its wording but will maintain its low interest rate mantra of exceptionally low levels for an extended period. FOMC officials are well aware that any cogent signals to an exit strategy would be interpreted negatively by a market that is already growing nervous ahead of stepped up of Chinese tightening conditions. Market anticipation of a possible +5% handle in US GDP will likely maintain USD bulls on their yield differential foundation. I do not expect FX traders to show the same reflexive selling to the FOMCs reiteration of the low rates outlook due to heightened uncertainty from the regulatory/political front as the response in global equities.
ENGLISH TRANSLATION: USD could slip off before rebounding later on
Chloe, yes, i still see 1.06 support due to that trend line break but limit is at 1.0730 (on safe side)
for those who did not get in GBPCAD last night it rallied 90 pips, consider fresh longs at these levels 1.7140 to 1.72
IMT UPDATED
Ashraf
How much do you see the cut to Japan's debt rating outlook affecting JPY? I know you are bullish on the Yen, esp. against AUD. Just read it from here ---http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=aIZE2XLgmsJQ Thanks!
Ashraf
mohamed