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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
ptaczek
Brno, Czech Republic
Posts: 110
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 16:43
@Pipster: it's always a matter of perspective when you play the markets. From MY perspective the 1.3480 is just a lower bound of a support/resistance area and I see that area (or band) roughly between 1.3480 and 1.3560 where 1.3500 is also a fibonacci 78.6% retracement level of the latest move down from 1.3570 to 1.3270. And because the way I'm managing my risk, I don't consider 30-50pips as a significant move. Therefore the 1.35-1.36 is a good area for me to take shorts IF the market fundamentals will be suggesting more EURUSD weakness at that time. Of course, there is always big chance that after I short the market it will move 30, 50, 70 pips against me before it resumes the downmove and I must count with that. There's never a single right price level known upfront ;)
I don't know how much newbie you are, but you should know that there is infinite ways how to trade and you will have to find your own which of-course takes time and effort.
Hope that helped a little.
Pipster
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 15:36
PTACzek

Thanks for the useful info. I will bear it in mind. That 1.3480 level is the broken support, now resistance. Would it not be right if it closed above this level then there is more upward bias - just my thinking. I'm a newbie so take it easy with me :)
INGbalek
Trencin, Slovakia
Posts: 120
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 15:34
@
I wish u - have a nice Weekend, im heading off...

ciao
INGbalek
Slovakia
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 15:31
@ptaczek..
of course u r right...
If I had a crystal bowl, i would tell when it s gonna happen...
I know that all of these questions about EURO are matters of time..personally, im out of any trade right now,,too choppy in my opinion to choose site, but im bear euro, still, .. all what matters, is the time , the accurate time to step in..
as for those 1,35-36 levels...euro cant win that battle in current environment,,as u have told, downgrades and macroeconomic troubles cant afford that...
ptaczek
Brno, Czech Republic
Posts: 110
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 15:13
@Pipster:
for me, IF eurusd closes below 1.3440 today, I will keep my bearish bias. There are options up to 1.3440 expiring today. Right now eurusd plays around 1.34 and jumped only slightly on better U.S. CSI. So despite of all the talks about greece help, there's apparent confusion among traders. IF eurusd manages to close above 1.3440 I'll be assuming 1.35-1.36 as a good levels for more shorts. But Im trading on low leverage therefore 30-50 pips is a noise for me. So be carefull if you want to follow me ;)

@INGbalek:
Talks are going about today's short covering on euro. Meanwhile Moody's said the EU-IMF help will not change the credit rating and Im looking for more downgrades of Portugal by Moody's and S&P in the near future. The minute it happens the eurusd will get lower.
Pipster
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 14:58
ING- Thanks
INGbalek
Slovakia
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 14:49
@ptaczek
that confuses me as well,,Trichet's speeches varies very frequently, as if somebodywas s telling what to pronounce...
as for eur,,,as ashraf has written, 1,3450/80 still intact...
I would be very surprised, no, confusely surprised if it went more above..very strong technicals over there and there is still portugal and other european countries with similiar troubles (italy, Ireland, england,...etc)...
but market is market, U cant fight him, its better to be a friend of IT/Him:-)
Pipster
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 14:45
I forgot to close myEur/Usd and my good 30 pips have gone and now in negative. Bummer.

Guys

Where can the Eur/ Usd go to before falling. I wasn't intending to stay longhaul.
ptaczek
Brno, Czech Republic
Posts: 110
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 14:19
@INGbalek: right now it seems there are more EUR-positive news or they are at least interpreted as positive by traders. I mean the EU-IMF mutant bailout for Greece. It's a bit embarrasing to hear JC Trichet said in one day that EU-IMF help to Greece is 'very very bad' and then suddenly it's 'workable solution' while being silent about Portugal which got downgraded two days ago by Fitch. I can sense something very very fishy under the cover but I wouldn't be surprised by more EUR upside.
wolf
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 82
15 years ago
Mar 26, 2010 14:18
chop chop chop, what a boring day.