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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Forum Topic:
Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
I agree with your analysis, I have noticed a big reduction of E European migrants in london myself . In my v unscientific test I have noticed a big reduction in the number of their girls out and about in the clubs in the city. I myself am contemplating migration to Aus or Canada as the quality of life for ppl of my generation is quite poor.
The latest targets from todays earlier IMTs and Twitter entries have been hit, 0.9770 in AUDUSD, 1.3870 in EURUSD and 0.9080s in USDCHF. With further risk aversion seen into weeks end (and not always necessarily at the session in hand), traders ought to wait for the intraday retracements (such as 30 and 40 pips bounces in AUDUSD, USDCHF and GBPUSD) to trigger fresh shorts. Note how shorting USDCHF continues to become an effective partial hedge for the long USD trade.
And as I argued in my latest article (see herehttp://bit.ly/ hzMCKX ) EURUSD remains supported at 1.3860-70s for on-the-dip entries into 1.3930-50s. THESE IMTs will become paid of a PREMIUM SECTION in AshrafLaidi.com starting from April. There will be a paid and non-paid section.
Ashraf
My suspicion is a significant exodus of both illegal and legal varieties. Cornwall is no guide as we have very few foreign immigrants here aside of polish seasonal farm workers for fruit growing etc. Our infrastructure is under massive strain in the 8 month holiday season but the local economy is reliant on tourism and in more recent years on second home owners who in truth take out more than they give.
Whenever I have ventured up country over the past 15 yrs the thing that struck me was the ever increasing population placing impossible burdens upon our infrastructures in this tiny country. The official labour govnmt population # was an enormous joke from my perspective and I think that will yet become revealed. What I saw on my excursion to the S.E this year was a dramatic reduction in traffic and people in the towns I visited.
NYSE breadth today was not characteristic of an 8% trend day, nor was bid/ask delta or Trin. The Vix was the most negative signal but I like to see everything aligning.
The move down from 1344 high today kissed 50% ret of the last swing up from 30th Nov low. It spiked through a typical correction level and quickly retreated. Also coincided with the 100 dma so 3 levels make a cluster of potential support. Jury out whether correction finished or back south again.
As to RSI divergences, O/B conditions, CCI, Stochs or whatever I have long since found no value for US stock indices which are a very "special" case !
I read the Nov low as a potential wave 4 of C so the current move down could well be a wave 4 of 5 of C, alternatively something a lot more sinister.