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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8936
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
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Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 9:05
no one knows on which trajectory is standing until it's too late. but i have taken my risks. part of the job, cannot be avoided.

said, my friend, by the way have you seen the movie Krach? it is a nice french movie, way better than Wall Street 2.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 8:48
reunification and iwo jima battle. do they listen to us?
hope u r not on the trajectory of the big one.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 8:43
eh said, you know better than me what is the geopolitical role of Guam. I can tell you only this: it is not without reason I am based here.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 8:13
eh boli mekura
what do u expect from guam fast forward and first expeditionnary corp. sorry to tell you also she is a bitch. i told this people to follow the procedure i made a mistake at that time.
go northwest.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 6:39
ES managed to fall just to 1262, 4-5 points short of my target 57-58. I had an open buy orders at 62 and 58 but did not get filled. Happens.
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 6:37
@DavidO

:)) Will you share some of your vol profile charts? TIA
Callum
Singapore, Singapore
Posts: 179
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 5:29
Anyone BUYING any of the Egyptian equities/ index or CDFs of individual stocks? Or any other direct Egypt plays?
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 0:49
Boli, how do you get on with IRT these days ? I punished Bill something wicked to get his darned buttons sorted and a few other things besides :-) Prefer to run delta filtered overlays on traditional charts. Never did the like the footprint charts he did for MD, too much micro detail.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jan 31, 2011 0:10
MARKETS NEEDED A CATALYST AND THEY GOT IT. It could well be argued that Egypt's political upheaval may only go so far in impacting G7 equity markets and that in the long-term, these markets will once again pick up due to their own internal demand dynamics as well as demand from emerging markets. But increasingly correlated global markets require the RIGHT TIME and RIGHT PLACE to peak and start to sell-off.

I've explained last Monday that it would be highly unlikely for the Dow-30 to end the week high, because such a development would have made it 9 consecutive weekly gain, something not seen since 1995. And thus, the failure for the Dow to gain on the week would mean 8 consecutive weekly gains, which is the first time since Mar-April, after which the May-June selloff occurred, including the May 6 Flash Crash. Then we saw the VIX posting a 20% increase on Friday, to close above both the 55 and 100-DMA in a single day, something not seen since May (also the month of that Flash Crash).

MARKETS HAVE CYCLES, AND CYCLE TURNS ARE TRIGGERED BY CATALYSTS. Whether it was the April 16 SEC announcement of its Goldman Sachs investigation that called the top later that month, Ireland and Spain's debt troubles in May, or Egypt's govt collapse last week, each of these make a good story for investors to sell-off. A CHINESE RATE HIKE this week before the FEB 3rd CHINESE NEW YEAR may well be the date for the next interest rate hike, in which case would further drive up USD against all currencies, DESPITE lofty oil and gold (which remain fuelled by the Egyptian knee-jerk reaction).


Ashraf
Boli Mekura
Guam
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jan 30, 2011 20:31
Seems first major support for ES is ~1257, which is also aligned with 2 standard deviations below 20 day MA (-2 sigma bollinger band). So watch out for support there in case of sell off on the open.
GL
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